Overlay Statistics by Track
The table below indicates a probable bias towards some tracks when considering overlays. This is because HRT prices are derived from very track specific data (i.e. ratings awarded for front runner performance at track and distance etc etc). Our interest in this table below is to determine if these track specific trends continue and if we can therefore recommend a portfolio of tracks to follow and/or avoid some time in the future.
General Notes
Only overlays in the TOP 5 HRT Prices are reported on.
Confidence Factor ratings have not been considered.
Taking underlays is not encouraged and not reported on. Information is also not
suitable for developing laying strategies.
These results are using TAB Prices. Any results above 90% - 95% should be considered favourable
when using more competitive betting avenues (this assumes that the selections
attract at least 10%-15% better odds due to the lower public opinion).
Results from genuine pre-race calculated HRT Prices from 24/1/2002 to 24/9/2005
over 3.5 years without back-fitting! Better results may be obtainable with
additional filters like including distance, track, jockey, trainer and tenacity
positions in the EasyForm Tables.
We recommend caution when considering data with low volume 'Bet' results.
These results may not reflect future trends.
POT of 100% is a break-even result.
Filters Used
These filters were developed in mid 2002 and
re-applied on recent data (3.5 years worth). We could change these filters
to improve our results, but thought it would be more meaningful if we remained
with the old filters we had developed without hindsight in
mind.
Races eliminated in data:-
1. Heavy tracks,
2. Insufficient Form Races (IF),
3. Race Data 5 or less.
Overlay codes
A "Small" overlay code below means that the overlay was between 1.0x to 1.5x. A "Mid" overlay below is 1.5x to 2.5x and "Large" overlay below is 2.5x and more. Overlays calculated as (TAB Price -1) / (HRT Price -1). For example, a TAB price of $3.00 and a HRT Price of $2.00 means a 2.0x overlay (ie $2.00/$1.00) and classified as a "Mid" overlay.
| Track |
Loc |
Overlay | Bets | Wins |
Return |
Win |
POT |
| ALBANY | WA | Small | 192 | 29 | 152.7 | 15.1% | 79.5% |
| ALBANY | WA | Mid | 140 | 20 | 112.7 | 14.3% | 80.5% |
| ALBANY | WA | Large | 115 | 12 | 173.5 | 10.4% | 150.9% |
| ALBURY | NSW | Small | 177 | 23 | 167.8 | 13.0% | 94.8% |
| ALBURY | NSW | Mid | 168 | 19 | 194.2 | 11.3% | 115.6% |
| ALBURY | NSW | Large | 165 | 13 | 225.2 | 7.9% | 136.5% |
| ARARAT | Vic | Small | 85 | 9 | 54.3 | 10.6% | 63.9% |
| ARARAT | Vic | Mid | 84 | 9 | 92.2 | 10.7% | 109.8% |
| ARARAT | Vic | Large | 77 | 4 | 37.7 | 5.2% | 49.0% |
| ARMIDALE | NSW | Small | 97 | 6 | 36.6 | 6.2% | 37.7% |
| ARMIDALE | NSW | Mid | 101 | 14 | 105.4 | 13.9% | 104.4% |
| ARMIDALE | NSW | Large | 69 | 3 | 32.7 | 4.3% | 47.4% |
| ARAWA PARK | NZ | Small | 24 | 2 | 21.4 | 8.3% | 89.2% |
| ARAWA PARK | NZ | Mid | 24 | 3 | 22.3 | 12.5% | 92.9% |
| ARAWA PARK | NZ | Large | 29 | 2 | 24.0 | 6.9% | 82.8% |
| ASCOT | WA | Small | 777 | 117 | 709.5 | 15.1% | 91.3% |
| ASCOT | WA | Mid | 735 | 71 | 649.6 | 9.7% | 88.4% |
| ASCOT | WA | Large | 635 | 44 | 642.1 | 6.9% | 101.1% |
| AVONDALE | NZ | Small | 43 | 8 | 61.7 | 18.6% | 143.5% |
| AVONDALE | NZ | Mid | 54 | 7 | 67.3 | 13.0% | 124.6% |
| AVONDALE | NZ | Large | 44 | 2 | 38.3 | 4.5% | 87.0% |
| AWAPUNI | NZ | Small | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AWAPUNI | NZ | Mid | 7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AWAPUNI | NZ | Large | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| BAIRNSDALE | Vic | Small | 179 | 23 | 118.7 | 12.8% | 66.3% |
| BAIRNSDALE | Vic | Mid | 166 | 23 | 180.8 | 13.9% | 108.9% |
| BAIRNSDALE | Vic | Large | 139 | 13 | 262.5 | 9.4% | 188.8% |
| BALAKLAVA | SA | Small | 276 | 34 | 218.3 | 12.3% | 79.1% |
| BALAKLAVA | SA | Mid | 254 | 28 | 221.2 | 11.0% | 87.1% |
| BALAKLAVA | SA | Large | 214 | 14 | 157.5 | 6.5% | 73.6% |
| BALLINA | NSW | Small | 210 | 41 | 245.6 | 19.5% | 117.0% |
| BALLINA | NSW | Mid | 196 | 22 | 213.9 | 11.2% | 109.1% |
| BALLINA | NSW | Large | 183 | 8 | 93.7 | 4.4% | 51.2% |
| BALLARAT | Vic | Small | 311 | 40 | 255.4 | 12.9% | 82.1% |
| BALLARAT | Vic | Mid | 309 | 33 | 253.9 | 10.7% | 82.2% |
| BALLARAT | Vic | Large | 294 | 14 | 212.1 | 4.8% | 72.1% |
| BATHURST | NSW | Small | 216 | 32 | 173.7 | 14.8% | 80.4% |
| BATHURST | NSW | Mid | 206 | 23 | 170.9 | 11.2% | 83.0% |
| BATHURST | NSW | Large | 193 | 17 | 184.7 | 8.8% | 95.7% |
| BEAUDESERT | Qld | Small | 59 | 4 | 30.1 | 6.8% | 51.0% |
| BEAUDESERT | Qld | Mid | 49 | 5 | 45.3 | 10.2% | 92.4% |
| BEAUDESERT | Qld | Large | 57 | 4 | 36.0 | 7.0% | 63.2% |
| BENDIGO | Vic | Small | 435 | 47 | 294.4 | 10.8% | 67.7% |
| BENDIGO | Vic | Mid | 424 | 55 | 445.8 | 13.0% | 105.1% |
| BENDIGO | Vic | Large | 351 | 24 | 284.0 | 6.8% | 80.9% |
| BERRIGAN | NSW | Small | 28 | 4 | 23.2 | 14.3% | 82.9% |
| BERRIGAN | NSW | Mid | 26 | 5 | 37.9 | 19.2% | 145.8% |
| BERRIGAN | NSW | Large | 26 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| BENALLA | Vic | Small | 189 | 25 | 155.3 | 13.2% | 82.2% |
| BENALLA | Vic | Mid | 163 | 23 | 197.9 | 14.1% | 121.4% |
| BENALLA | Vic | Large | 145 | 5 | 38.8 | 3.4% | 26.8% |
| BELMONT PARK | WA | Small | 1454 | 220 | 1211.8 | 15.1% | 83.3% |
| BELMONT PARK | WA | Mid | 1332 | 151 | 1247.4 | 11.3% | 93.6% |
| BELMONT PARK | WA | Large | 1100 | 79 | 1036.6 | 7.2% | 94.2% |
| BORDERTOWN | SA | Small | 88 | 14 | 99.6 | 15.9% | 113.2% |
| BORDERTOWN | SA | Mid | 91 | 11 | 63.3 | 12.1% | 69.6% |
| BORDERTOWN | SA | Large | 58 | 5 | 63.8 | 8.6% | 110.0% |
| BROKEN HILL | NSW | Small | 5 | 2 | 7.9 | 40.0% | 158.0% |
| BROKEN HILL | NSW | Mid | 12 | 2 | 15.9 | 16.7% | 132.5% |
| BROKEN HILL | NSW | Large | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| BOWRAVILLE | NSW | Small | 24 | 5 | 22.4 | 20.8% | 93.3% |
| BOWRAVILLE | NSW | Mid | 21 | 4 | 22.4 | 19.0% | 106.7% |
| BOWRAVILLE | NSW | Large | 13 | 1 | 10.2 | 7.7% | 78.5% |
| BUNBURY | WA | Small | 378 | 57 | 371.5 | 15.1% | 98.3% |
| BUNBURY | WA | Mid | 358 | 42 | 304.5 | 11.7% | 85.1% |
| BUNBURY | WA | Large | 283 | 16 | 193.1 | 5.7% | 68.2% |
| CANBERRA | ACT | Small | 383 | 57 | 300.4 | 14.9% | 78.4% |
| CANBERRA | ACT | Mid | 388 | 41 | 331.4 | 10.6% | 85.4% |
| CANBERRA | ACT | Large | 370 | 24 | 366.6 | 6.5% | 99.1% |
| CAMPERDOWN | Vic | Small | 33 | 6 | 43.7 | 18.2% | 132.4% |
| CAMPERDOWN | Vic | Mid | 37 | 4 | 19.6 | 10.8% | 53.0% |
| CAMPERDOWN | Vic | Large | 27 | 1 | 3.4 | 3.7% | 12.6% |
| CAIRNS | Qld | Small | 41 | 1 | 8.0 | 2.4% | 19.5% |
| CAIRNS | Qld | Mid | 46 | 6 | 57.9 | 13.0% | 125.9% |
| CAIRNS | Qld | Large | 38 | 3 | 24.8 | 7.9% | 65.3% |
| CANTERBURY | NSW | Small | 633 | 77 | 461.4 | 12.2% | 72.9% |
| CANTERBURY | NSW | Mid | 663 | 53 | 457.3 | 8.0% | 69.0% |
| CANTERBURY | NSW | Large | 580 | 43 | 571.6 | 7.4% | 98.6% |
| CASINO | NSW | Small | 54 | 4 | 23.9 | 7.4% | 44.3% |
| CASINO | NSW | Mid | 56 | 3 | 47.4 | 5.4% | 84.6% |
| CASINO | NSW | Large | 52 | 4 | 57.5 | 7.7% | 110.6% |
| CASTERTON | Vic | Small | 152 | 25 | 186.6 | 16.4% | 122.8% |
| CASTERTON | Vic | Mid | 149 | 19 | 127.8 | 12.8% | 85.8% |
| CASTERTON | Vic | Large | 120 | 7 | 84.4 | 5.8% | 70.3% |
| CAULFIELD | Vic | Small | 522 | 62 | 422.1 | 11.9% | 80.9% |
| CAULFIELD | Vic | Mid | 520 | 60 | 554.8 | 11.5% | 106.7% |
| CAULFIELD | Vic | Large | 385 | 25 | 404.2 | 6.5% | 105.0% |
| CESSNOCK | NSW | Small | 336 | 55 | 327.3 | 16.4% | 97.4% |
| CESSNOCK | NSW | Mid | 278 | 28 | 205.4 | 10.1% | 73.9% |
| CESSNOCK | NSW | Large | 242 | 16 | 214.8 | 6.6% | 88.8% |
| CHELTENHAM | SA | Small | 533 | 62 | 324.8 | 11.6% | 60.9% |
| CHELTENHAM | SA | Mid | 541 | 59 | 478.0 | 10.9% | 88.4% |
| CHELTENHAM | SA | Large | 426 | 28 | 388.1 | 6.6% | 91.1% |
| CLARE | SA | Small | 83 | 15 | 82.5 | 18.1% | 99.4% |
| CLARE | SA | Mid | 113 | 7 | 35.1 | 6.2% | 31.1% |
| CLARE | SA | Large | 79 | 10 | 82.2 | 12.7% | 104.1% |
| COONABARABRAN | NSW | Small | 45 | 8 | 58.1 | 17.8% | 129.1% |
| COONABARABRAN | NSW | Mid | 45 | 7 | 69.4 | 15.6% | 154.2% |
| COONABARABRAN | NSW | Large | 42 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| COFFS HARBOUR | NSW | Small | 223 | 32 | 219.6 | 14.3% | 98.5% |
| COFFS HARBOUR | NSW | Mid | 243 | 28 | 244.2 | 11.5% | 100.5% |
| COFFS HARBOUR | NSW | Large | 176 | 9 | 168.2 | 5.1% | 95.6% |
| COLAC | Vic | Small | 92 | 9 | 60.1 | 9.8% | 65.3% |
| COLAC | Vic | Mid | 77 | 11 | 57.1 | 14.3% | 74.2% |
| COLAC | Vic | Large | 71 | 4 | 52.5 | 5.6% | 73.9% |
| COLERAINE | Vic | Small | 30 | 3 | 18.7 | 10.0% | 62.3% |
| COLERAINE | Vic | Mid | 31 | 6 | 53.9 | 19.4% | 173.9% |
| COLERAINE | Vic | Large | 32 | 2 | 19.5 | 6.3% | 60.9% |
| COONAMBLE | NSW | Small | 67 | 11 | 67.0 | 16.4% | 100.0% |
| COONAMBLE | NSW | Mid | 50 | 5 | 25.9 | 10.0% | 51.8% |
| COONAMBLE | NSW | Large | 60 | 1 | 36.1 | 1.7% | 60.2% |
| COROWA | NSW | Small | 59 | 10 | 54.7 | 16.9% | 92.7% |
| COROWA | NSW | Mid | 56 | 6 | 40.6 | 10.7% | 72.5% |
| COROWA | NSW | Large | 40 | 1 | 28.0 | 2.5% | 70.0% |
| COOTAMUNDRA | NSW | Small | 24 | 2 | 7.1 | 8.3% | 29.6% |
| COOTAMUNDRA | NSW | Mid | 22 | 1 | 15.2 | 4.5% | 69.1% |
| COOTAMUNDRA | NSW | Large | 12 | 1 | 18.3 | 8.3% | 152.5% |
| COWRA | NSW | Small | 65 | 11 | 63.3 | 16.9% | 97.4% |
| COWRA | NSW | Mid | 61 | 6 | 51.3 | 9.8% | 84.1% |
| COWRA | NSW | Large | 56 | 6 | 87.2 | 10.7% | 155.7% |
| CRANBOURNE | Vic | Small | 360 | 46 | 285.8 | 12.8% | 79.4% |
| CRANBOURNE | Vic | Mid | 351 | 36 | 314.4 | 10.3% | 89.6% |
| CRANBOURNE | Vic | Large | 312 | 22 | 344.0 | 7.1% | 110.3% |
| DALBY | Qld | Small | 77 | 10 | 69.4 | 13.0% | 90.1% |
| DALBY | Qld | Mid | 84 | 12 | 67.8 | 14.3% | 80.7% |
| DALBY | Qld | Large | 70 | 5 | 101.3 | 7.1% | 144.7% |
| DEVONPORT | Tas | Small | 223 | 36 | 179.3 | 16.1% | 80.4% |
| DEVONPORT | Tas | Mid | 204 | 24 | 130.6 | 11.8% | 64.0% |
| DEVONPORT | Tas | Large | 162 | 15 | 150.6 | 9.3% | 93.0% |
| DONALD | Vic | Small | 83 | 9 | 71.6 | 10.8% | 86.3% |
| DONALD | Vic | Mid | 76 | 9 | 99.7 | 11.8% | 131.2% |
| DONALD | Vic | Large | 65 | 5 | 50.5 | 7.7% | 77.7% |
| DOOMBEN | Qld | Small | 1051 | 154 | 971.3 | 14.7% | 92.4% |
| DOOMBEN | Qld | Mid | 1042 | 105 | 861.8 | 10.1% | 82.7% |
| DOOMBEN | Qld | Large | 793 | 47 | 758.4 | 5.9% | 95.6% |
| DUBBO | NSW | Small | 173 | 19 | 104.5 | 11.0% | 60.4% |
| DUBBO | NSW | Mid | 152 | 18 | 161.7 | 11.8% | 106.4% |
| DUBBO | NSW | Large | 158 | 9 | 66.5 | 5.7% | 42.1% |
| DARGAVILLE | NZ | Small | 8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| DARGAVILLE | NZ | Mid | 7 | 1 | 4.2 | 14.3% | 60.0% |
| DARGAVILLE | NZ | Large | 5 | 1 | 12.4 | 20.0% | 248.0% |
| EAGLE FARM | Qld | Small | 1200 | 169 | 1049.2 | 14.1% | 87.4% |
| EAGLE FARM | Qld | Mid | 1228 | 140 | 1205.8 | 11.4% | 98.2% |
| EAGLE FARM | Qld | Large | 983 | 56 | 831.1 | 5.7% | 84.5% |
| ECHUCA | Vic | Small | 247 | 35 | 201.5 | 14.2% | 81.6% |
| ECHUCA | Vic | Mid | 261 | 35 | 310.7 | 13.4% | 119.0% |
| ECHUCA | Vic | Large | 189 | 12 | 113.3 | 6.3% | 59.9% |
| EDENHOPE | Vic | Small | 64 | 7 | 34.4 | 10.9% | 53.8% |
| EDENHOPE | Vic | Mid | 80 | 16 | 120.0 | 20.0% | 150.0% |
| EDENHOPE | Vic | Large | 59 | 5 | 72.7 | 8.5% | 123.2% |
| ESK | Qld | Small | 56 | 8 | 48.0 | 14.3% | 85.7% |
| ESK | Qld | Mid | 65 | 5 | 40.8 | 7.7% | 62.8% |
| ESK | Qld | Large | 47 | 4 | 43.7 | 8.5% | 93.0% |
| FANNIE BAY | NT | Small | 37 | 11 | 61.5 | 29.7% | 166.2% |
| FANNIE BAY | NT | Mid | 34 | 12 | 102.3 | 35.3% | 300.9% |
| FANNIE BAY | NT | Large | 25 | 1 | 4.8 | 4.0% | 19.2% |
| FLEMINGTON | Vic | Small | 716 | 74 | 516.0 | 10.3% | 72.1% |
| FLEMINGTON | Vic | Mid | 711 | 70 | 697.8 | 9.8% | 98.1% |
| FLEMINGTON | Vic | Large | 559 | 26 | 386.9 | 4.7% | 69.2% |
| FORBES | NSW | Small | 27 | 4 | 30.4 | 14.8% | 112.6% |
| FORBES | NSW | Mid | 27 | 6 | 85.5 | 22.2% | 316.7% |
| FORBES | NSW | Large | 35 | 3 | 44.5 | 8.6% | 127.1% |
| GATTON | Qld | Small | 89 | 9 | 58.7 | 10.1% | 66.0% |
| GATTON | Qld | Mid | 101 | 8 | 44.8 | 7.9% | 44.4% |
| GATTON | Qld | Large | 58 | 8 | 113.8 | 13.8% | 196.2% |
| GAWLER | SA | Small | 251 | 42 | 241.7 | 16.7% | 96.3% |
| GAWLER | SA | Mid | 270 | 34 | 223.9 | 12.6% | 82.9% |
| GAWLER | SA | Large | 219 | 15 | 117.4 | 6.8% | 53.6% |
| GOLD COAST | Qld | Small | 1147 | 189 | 1126.6 | 16.5% | 98.2% |
| GOLD COAST | Qld | Mid | 1077 | 130 | 963.8 | 12.1% | 89.5% |
| GOLD COAST | Qld | Large | 956 | 74 | 834.4 | 7.7% | 87.3% |
| GOLD COAST-ORIG | QLD | Small | 92 | 14 | 82.1 | 15.2% | 89.2% |
| GOLD COAST-ORIG | QLD | Mid | 106 | 15 | 109.4 | 14.2% | 103.2% |
| GOLD COAST-ORIG | QLD | Large | 68 | 7 | 60.4 | 10.3% | 88.8% |
| GEELONG | Vic | Small | 473 | 69 | 384.4 | 14.6% | 81.3% |
| GEELONG | Vic | Mid | 432 | 47 | 330.3 | 10.9% | 76.5% |
| GEELONG | Vic | Large | 334 | 19 | 256.9 | 5.7% | 76.9% |
| GERALDTON | WA | Small | 126 | 14 | 73.1 | 11.1% | 58.0% |
| GERALDTON | WA | Mid | 108 | 17 | 132.9 | 15.7% | 123.1% |
| GERALDTON | WA | Large | 85 | 5 | 33.8 | 5.9% | 39.8% |
| GILGANDRA | NSW | Small | 49 | 5 | 27.0 | 10.2% | 55.1% |
| GILGANDRA | NSW | Mid | 51 | 2 | 32.6 | 3.9% | 63.9% |
| GILGANDRA | NSW | Large | 42 | 3 | 96.2 | 7.1% | 229.0% |
| GOSFORD | NSW | Small |